Real-Time Efficiency Prediction in Nonlinear Fractional-Order Systems via Multimodal Fusion

Rod pump systems are complex nonlinear processes, and conventional efficiency prediction methods for such systems typically rely on high-order fractional partial differential equations, which severely constrain real-time inference. Motivated by the increasing availability of measured electrical power data, this paper introduces a series of prediction models for nonlinear fractional-order PDE systems efficiency based on multimodal feature fusion. First, three single-model predictions—Asymptotic Cross-Fusion, Adaptive-Weight Late-Fusion, and Two-Stage Progressive Feature Fusion—are presented; next, two ensemble approaches—one based on a Parallel-Cascaded Ensemble strategy and the other on Data Envelopment Analysis—are developed; finally, by balancing base-learner diversity with predictive accuracy, a multi-strategy ensemble prediction model is devised for online rod pump system efficiency estimation. Comprehensive experiments and ablation studies on data from 3938 oil wells demonstrate that the proposed methods deliver high predictive accuracy while meeting real-time performance requirements.