arXiv Open Access 2025

A differentiable model of supply-chain shocks

Saad Hamid José Moran Luca Mungo Arnau Quera-Bofarull Sebastian Towers
Lihat Sumber

Abstrak

Modelling how shocks propagate in supply chains is an increasingly important challenge in economics. Its relevance has been highlighted in recent years by events such as Covid-19 and the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Agent-based models (ABMs) are a promising approach for this problem. However, calibrating them is hard. We show empirically that it is possible to achieve speed ups of over 3 orders of magnitude when calibrating ABMs of supply networks by running them on GPUs and using automatic differentiation, compared to non-differentiable baselines. This opens the door to scaling ABMs to model the whole global supply network.

Penulis (5)

S

Saad Hamid

J

José Moran

L

Luca Mungo

A

Arnau Quera-Bofarull

S

Sebastian Towers

Format Sitasi

Hamid, S., Moran, J., Mungo, L., Quera-Bofarull, A., Towers, S. (2025). A differentiable model of supply-chain shocks. https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.05231

Akses Cepat

Lihat di Sumber
Informasi Jurnal
Tahun Terbit
2025
Bahasa
en
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arXiv
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Open Access ✓