arXiv Open Access 2025

Dynamic causal discovery in Alzheimer's disease through latent pseudotime modelling

Natalia Glazman Jyoti Mangal Pedro Borges Sebastien Ourselin M. Jorge Cardoso
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Abstrak

The application of causal discovery to diseases like Alzheimer's (AD) is limited by the static graph assumptions of most methods; such models cannot account for an evolving pathophysiology, modulated by a latent disease pseudotime. We propose to apply an existing latent variable model to real-world AD data, inferring a pseudotime that orders patients along a data-driven disease trajectory independent of chronological age, then learning how causal relationships evolve. Pseudotime outperformed age in predicting diagnosis (AUC 0.82 vs 0.59). Incorporating minimal, disease-agnostic background knowledge substantially improved graph accuracy and orientation. Our framework reveals dynamic interactions between novel (NfL, GFAP) and established AD markers, enabling practical causal discovery despite violated assumptions.

Topik & Kata Kunci

Penulis (5)

N

Natalia Glazman

J

Jyoti Mangal

P

Pedro Borges

S

Sebastien Ourselin

M

M. Jorge Cardoso

Format Sitasi

Glazman, N., Mangal, J., Borges, P., Ourselin, S., Cardoso, M.J. (2025). Dynamic causal discovery in Alzheimer's disease through latent pseudotime modelling. https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.04619

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Informasi Jurnal
Tahun Terbit
2025
Bahasa
en
Sumber Database
arXiv
Akses
Open Access ✓