arXiv Open Access 2024

Criminal organizations exhibit hysteresis, resilience, and robustness by balancing security and efficiency

Casper van Elteren Vítor V. Vasconcelos Mike Lees
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Abstrak

The interplay between criminal organizations and law enforcement disruption strategies is crucial in criminology. Criminal enterprises, like legitimate businesses, balance visibility and security to thrive. This study uses evolutionary game theory to analyze criminal networks' dynamics, resilience to interventions, and responses to external conditions. We find strong hysteresis effects, challenging traditional deterrence-focused strategies. Optimal thresholds for organization formation or dissolution are defined by these effects. Stricter punishment doesn't always deter organized crime linearly. Network structure, particularly link density and skill assortativity, significantly influences organization formation and stability. These insights advocate for adaptive policy-making and strategic law enforcement to effectively disrupt criminal networks.

Topik & Kata Kunci

Penulis (3)

C

Casper van Elteren

V

Vítor V. Vasconcelos

M

Mike Lees

Format Sitasi

Elteren, C.v., Vasconcelos, V.V., Lees, M. (2024). Criminal organizations exhibit hysteresis, resilience, and robustness by balancing security and efficiency. https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.03720

Akses Cepat

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Tahun Terbit
2024
Bahasa
en
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arXiv
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Open Access ✓