arXiv Open Access 2018

Consistency of Forecasts for the U.S. House of Representatives

Henry Bendekgey

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Abstrak

We consider the performance of the foremost academic House of Representatives forecasting models in the 2018 elections. In creating open-source implementations of these models, we outline key underlying assumptions. We find that although the results were unsurprising, they indicate a weakening of many traditional forecasting indicators.

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stat.AP

Penulis (1)

Henry Bendekgey

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Bendekgey, H. (2018). Consistency of Forecasts for the U.S. House of Representatives. https://arxiv.org/abs/1811.12466

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Informasi Jurnal

Tahun Terbit: 2018
Bahasa: en
Sumber Database: arXiv
Akses: Open Access ✓