Hasil untuk "Infectious and parasitic diseases"

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arXiv Open Access 2026
XAI and Few-shot-based Hybrid Classification Model for Plant Leaf Disease Prognosis

Diana Susan Joseph, Pranav M Pawar, Raja Muthalagu et al.

Performing a timely and accurate identification of crop diseases is vital to maintain agricultural productivity and food security. The current work presents a hybrid few-shot learning model that integrates Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) and Few-Shot Learning (FSL) to address the challenge of identifying and classifying the stages of disease of the diseases of maize, rice, and wheat leaves under limited annotated data conditions. The proposed model integrates Siamese and Prototypical Networks within an episodic training paradigm to effectively learn discriminative disease features from a few examples. To ensure model transparency and trustworthiness, Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) is employed for visualizing key decision regions in the leaf images, offering interpretable insights into the classification process. Experimental evaluations on custom few-shot datasets developed in the study prove that the model consistently achieves high accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-scores, frequently exceeding 92% across various disease stages. Comparative analyses against baseline FSL models further confirm the superior performance and explainability of the proposed approach. The framework offers a promising solution for real-world, data-constrained agricultural disease monitoring applications.

en cs.CV, cs.AI
arXiv Open Access 2025
A structure-preserving LDG discretization of the Fisher-Kolmogorov equation for modeling neurodegenerative diseases

Paola F. Antonietti, Mattia Corti, Sergio Gómez et al.

This work presents a structure-preserving, high-order, unconditionally stable numerical method for approximating the solution to the Fisher-Kolmogorov equation on polytopic meshes, with a particular focus on its application in simulating misfolded protein spreading in neurodegenerative diseases. The model problem is reformulated using an entropy variable to guarantee solution positivity, boundedness, and satisfaction of a discrete entropy-stability inequality at the numerical level. The scheme combines a local discontinuous Galerkin method on polytopal meshes for the space discretization with a $ν$-step backward differentiation formula for the time integration. Implementation details are discussed, including a detailed derivation of the linear systems arising from Newton's iteration. The accuracy and robustness of the proposed method are demonstrated through extensive numerical tests. Finally, the method's practical performance is demonstrated through simulations of $α$-synuclein propagation in a two-dimensional brain geometry segmented from MRI data, providing a relevant computational framework for modeling synucleopathies (such as Parkinson's disease) and, more generally, neurodegenerative diseases.

arXiv Open Access 2025
Trustworthy Chronic Disease Risk Prediction For Self-Directed Preventive Care via Medical Literature Validation

Minh Le, Khoi Ton

Chronic diseases are long-term, manageable, yet typically incurable conditions, highlighting the need for effective preventive strategies. Machine learning has been widely used to assess individual risk for chronic diseases. However, many models rely on medical test data (e.g. blood results, glucose levels), which limits their utility for proactive self-assessment. Additionally, to gain public trust, machine learning models should be explainable and transparent. Although some research on self-assessment machine learning models includes explainability, their explanations are not validated against established medical literature, reducing confidence in their reliability. To address these issues, we develop deep learning models that predict the risk of developing 13 chronic diseases using only personal and lifestyle factors, enabling accessible, self-directed preventive care. Importantly, we use SHAP-based explainability to identify the most influential model features and validate them against established medical literature. Our results show a strong alignment between the models' most influential features and established medical literature, reinforcing the models' trustworthiness. Critically, we find that this observation holds across 13 distinct diseases, indicating that this machine learning approach can be broadly trusted for chronic disease prediction. This work lays the foundation for developing trustworthy machine learning tools for self-directed preventive care. Future research can explore other approaches for models' trustworthiness and discuss how the models can be used ethically and responsibly.

en cs.LG, cs.CY
CrossRef Open Access 2024
Infectivity of Plasmodium parasites to Aedes aegypti and Anopheles stephensi mosquitoes maintained on blood-free meals of SkitoSnack

Kristina K. Gonzales-Wartz, Juliana M. Sá, Kevin Lee et al.

Abstract Background Aedes and Anopheles mosquitoes are responsible for tremendous global health burdens from their transmission of pathogens causing malaria, lymphatic filariasis, dengue, and yellow fever. Innovative vector control strategies will help to reduce the prevalence of these diseases. Mass rearing of mosquitoes for research and support of these strategies presently depends on meals of vertebrate blood, which is subject to acquisition, handling, and storage issues. Various blood-free replacements have been formulated for these mosquitoes, but none of these replacements are in wide use, and little is known about their potential impact on competence of the mosquitoes for Plasmodium infection. Methods Colonies of Aedes aegypti and Anopheles stephensi were continuously maintained on a blood-free replacement (SkitoSnack; SS) or bovine blood (BB) and monitored for engorgement and hatch rates. Infections of Ae. aegypti and An. stephensi were assessed with Plasmodium gallinaceum and P. falciparum, respectively. Results Replicate colonies of mosquitoes were maintained on BB or SS for 10 generations of Ae. aegypti and more than 63 generations of An. stephensi. The odds of engorgement by SS- relative to BB-maintained mosquitoes were higher for both Ae. aegypti (OR = 2.6, 95% CI 1.3–5.2) and An. stephensi (OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.4–5.5), while lower odds of hatching were found for eggs from the SS-maintained mosquitoes of both species (Ae. aegypti OR = 0.40, 95% CI 0.26–0.62; An. stephensi OR = 0.59, 95% CI 0.36–0.96). Oocyst counts were similar for P. gallinaceum infections of Ae. aegypti mosquitoes maintained on SS or BB (mean ratio = [mean on SS]/[mean on BB] = 1.11, 95% CI 0.85–1.49). Similar oocyst counts were also observed from the P. falciparum infections of SS- or BB-maintained An. stephensi (mean ratio = 0.76, 95% CI 0.44–1.37). The average counts of sporozoites/mosquito showed no evidence of reductions in the SS-maintained relative to BB-maintained mosquitoes of both species. Conclusions Aedes aegypti and An. stephensi can be reliably maintained on SS over multiple generations and are as competent for Plasmodium infection as mosquitoes maintained on BB. Use of SS alleviates the need to acquire and preserve blood for mosquito husbandry and may support new initiatives in fundamental and applied research, including novel manipulations of midgut microbiota and factors important to the mosquito life cycle and pathogen susceptibility. Graphical Abstract

1 sitasi en
CrossRef Open Access 2024
RARE CASE OF ASCARIASIS DETECTED BY COLONOSCOPY ON THE BACKGROUND OF ELEVATED LEVELS OF FECAL CALPROTECTIN

Rumen Harizanov, Iskren Kaftandjiev, Iskra Rainova et al.

Introduction: The causative agents of ascariasis in humans are two species: Ascaris lumbricoides and Ascaris suum. For diagnosis, a fecal sample is most often examined. In some cases, the parasite can be identified when coming out with the intestinal passage, and very rarely up on colonoscopy. Aim to present a rare case of ascariasis where the diagnosis was made by colonoscopy on the background of elevated levels of fecal calprotectin (f-CP). Case presentation: A colonoscopy was performed on a 52-year-old female patient due to elevated f-CP. The patient had no complaints. The colonoscopy did not detect pathological changes of the intestinal mucosa, but documented larval stages of Ascaris spp. freely moving in the lumen of the large intestine. The patient was treated with albendazole. Subsequent parasitological examinations of fecal samples were negative. Discussion: In developed countries, the transmission of Ascaris lumbricoides is greatly reduced. On the background of a very limited transmission of Ascaris lumbricoides, many authors consider that most of the sporadic cases of ascariasis are due to Ascaris suum. In the case described by us, the f-CP levels normalized after the treatment, and for this reason, we cannot categorically reject the relationship between Ascaris infection and elevated f-CP levels. Conclusion: The presented clinical case is of interest due to the unusual way of diagnosi ascariasis. In the absence of clinical symptoms, and pathological changes of blood and biochemical parameters, except for elevated fecal calprotectin, inflammatory colon disease was suspected and was colonoscopy performed on this occasion.

arXiv Open Access 2024
Joint model with latent disease age: overcoming the need for reference time

Juliette Ortholand, Nicolas Gensollen, Stanley Durrleman et al.

Introduction: Heterogeneity of the progression of neurodegenerative diseases is one of the main challenges faced in developing effective therapies. With the increasing number of large clinical databases, disease progression models have led to a better understanding of this heterogeneity. Nevertheless, these diseases may have no clear onset and biological underlying processes may start before the first symptoms. Such an ill-defined disease reference time is an issue for current joint models, which have proven their effectiveness by combining longitudinal and survival data. Objective In this work, we propose a joint non-linear mixed effect model with a latent disease age, to overcome this need for a precise reference time. Method: To do so, we utilized an existing longitudinal model with a latent disease age as a longitudinal sub-model and associated it with a survival sub-model that estimates a Weibull distribution from the latent disease age. We then validated our model on different simulated scenarios. Finally, we benchmarked our model with a state-of-the-art joint model and reference survival and longitudinal models on simulated and real data in the context of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS). Results: On real data, our model got significantly better results than the state-of-the-art joint model for absolute bias (4.21(4.41) versus 4.24(4.14)(p-value=1.4e-17)), and mean cumulative AUC for right censored events (0.67(0.07) versus 0.61(0.09)(p-value=1.7e-03)). Conclusion: We showed that our approach is better suited than the state-of-the-art in the context where the reference time is not reliable. This work opens up the perspective to design predictive and personalized therapeutic strategies.

en stat.ME
arXiv Open Access 2024
Predictors of disease outbreaks at continentalscale in the African region: Insights and predictions with geospatial artificial intelligence using earth observations and routine disease surveillance data

Scott Pezanowski, Etien Luc Koua, Joseph C Okeibunor et al.

Objectives: Our research adopts computational techniques to analyze disease outbreaks weekly over a large geographic area while maintaining local-level analysis by incorporating relevant high-spatial resolution cultural and environmental datasets. The abundance of data about disease outbreaks gives scientists an excellent opportunity to uncover patterns in disease spread and make future predictions. However, data over a sizeable geographic area quickly outpace human cognition. Our study area covers a significant portion of the African continent (about 17,885,000 km2). The data size makes computational analysis vital to assist human decision-makers. Methods: We first applied global and local spatial autocorrelation for malaria, cholera, meningitis, and yellow fever case counts. We then used machine learning to predict the weekly presence of these diseases in the second-level administrative district. Lastly, we used machine learning feature importance methods on the variables that affect spread. Results: Our spatial autocorrelation results show that geographic nearness is critical but varies in effect and space. Moreover, we identified many interesting hot and cold spots and spatial outliers. The machine learning model infers a binary class of cases or none with the best F1 score of 0.96 for malaria. Machine learning feature importance uncovered critical cultural and environmental factors affecting outbreaks and variations between diseases. Conclusions: Our study shows that data analytics and machine learning are vital to understanding and monitoring disease outbreaks locally across vast areas. The speed at which these methods produce insights can be critical during epidemics and emergencies.

arXiv Open Access 2024
Enabling Patient-side Disease Prediction via the Integration of Patient Narratives

Zhixiang Su, Yinan Zhang, Jiazheng Jing et al.

Disease prediction holds considerable significance in modern healthcare, because of its crucial role in facilitating early intervention and implementing effective prevention measures. However, most recent disease prediction approaches heavily rely on laboratory test outcomes (e.g., blood tests and medical imaging from X-rays). Gaining access to such data for precise disease prediction is often a complex task from the standpoint of a patient and is always only available post-patient consultation. To make disease prediction available from patient-side, we propose Personalized Medical Disease Prediction (PoMP), which predicts diseases using patient health narratives including textual descriptions and demographic information. By applying PoMP, patients can gain a clearer comprehension of their conditions, empowering them to directly seek appropriate medical specialists and thereby reducing the time spent navigating healthcare communication to locate suitable doctors. We conducted extensive experiments using real-world data from Haodf to showcase the effectiveness of PoMP.

en cs.CL
arXiv Open Access 2023
MIRACLE: Multi-task Learning based Interpretable Regulation of Autoimmune Diseases through Common Latent Epigenetics

Pengcheng Xu, Jinpu Cai, Yulin Gao et al.

DNA methylation is a crucial regulator of gene transcription and has been linked to various diseases, including autoimmune diseases and cancers. However, diagnostics based on DNA methylation face challenges due to large feature sets and small sample sizes, resulting in overfitting and suboptimal performance. To address these issues, we propose MIRACLE, a novel interpretable neural network that leverages autoencoder-based multi-task learning to integrate multiple datasets and jointly identify common patterns in DNA methylation. MIRACLE's architecture reflects the relationships between methylation sites, genes, and pathways, ensuring biological interpretability and meaningfulness. The network comprises an encoder and a decoder, with a bottleneck layer representing pathway information as the basic unit of heredity. Customized defined MaskedLinear Layer is constrained by site-gene-pathway graph adjacency matrix information, which provides explainability and expresses the site-gene-pathway hierarchical structure explicitly. And from the embedding, there are different multi-task classifiers to predict diseases. Tested on six datasets, including rheumatoid arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, multiple sclerosis, inflammatory bowel disease, psoriasis, and type 1 diabetes, MIRACLE demonstrates robust performance in identifying common functions of DNA methylation across different phenotypes, with higher accuracy in prediction dieseases than baseline methods. By incorporating biological prior knowledge, MIRACLE offers a meaningful and interpretable framework for DNA methylation data analysis in the context of autoimmune diseases.

en cs.LG
arXiv Open Access 2023
Gastrointestinal Disease Classification through Explainable and Cost-Sensitive Deep Neural Networks with Supervised Contrastive Learning

Dibya Nath, G. M. Shahariar

Gastrointestinal diseases pose significant healthcare chall-enges as they manifest in diverse ways and can lead to potential complications. Ensuring precise and timely classification of these diseases is pivotal in guiding treatment choices and enhancing patient outcomes. This paper introduces a novel approach on classifying gastrointestinal diseases by leveraging cost-sensitive pre-trained deep convolutional neural network (CNN) architectures with supervised contrastive learning. Our approach enables the network to learn representations that capture vital disease-related features, while also considering the relationships of similarity between samples. To tackle the challenges posed by imbalanced datasets and the cost-sensitive nature of misclassification errors in healthcare, we incorporate cost-sensitive learning. By assigning distinct costs to misclassifications based on the disease class, we prioritize accurate classification of critical conditions. Furthermore, we enhance the interpretability of our model by integrating gradient-based techniques from explainable artificial intelligence (AI). This inclusion provides valuable insights into the decision-making process of the network, aiding in understanding the features that contribute to disease classification. To assess the effectiveness of our proposed approach, we perform extensive experiments on a comprehensive gastrointestinal disease dataset, such as the Hyper-Kvasir dataset. Through thorough comparisons with existing works, we demonstrate the strong classification accuracy, robustness and interpretability of our model. We have made the implementation of our proposed approach publicly available at https://github.com/dibya404/Gastrointestinal-Disease-Classification-through-Explainable-and-Cost-Sensitive-DNN-with-SCL

en cs.CV
arXiv Open Access 2023
FaceTouch: Detecting hand-to-face touch with supervised contrastive learning to assist in tracing infectious disease

Mohamed R. Ibrahim, Terry Lyons

Through our respiratory system, many viruses and diseases frequently spread and pass from one person to another. Covid-19 served as an example of how crucial it is to track down and cut back on contacts to stop its spread. There is a clear gap in finding automatic methods that can detect hand-to-face contact in complex urban scenes or indoors. In this paper, we introduce a computer vision framework, called FaceTouch, based on deep learning. It comprises deep sub-models to detect humans and analyse their actions. FaceTouch seeks to detect hand-to-face touches in the wild, such as through video chats, bus footage, or CCTV feeds. Despite partial occlusion of faces, the introduced system learns to detect face touches from the RGB representation of a given scene by utilising the representation of the body gestures such as arm movement. This has been demonstrated to be useful in complex urban scenarios beyond simply identifying hand movement and its closeness to faces. Relying on Supervised Contrastive Learning, the introduced model is trained on our collected dataset, given the absence of other benchmark datasets. The framework shows a strong validation in unseen datasets which opens the door for potential deployment.

en cs.CV, cs.AI
arXiv Open Access 2022
Automatic Detection of Rice Disease in Images of Various Leaf Sizes

Kantip Kiratiratanapruk, Pitchayagan Temniranrat, Wasin Sinthupinyo et al.

Fast, accurate and affordable rice disease detection method is required to assist rice farmers tackling equipment and expertise shortages problems. In this paper, we focused on the solution using computer vision technique to detect rice diseases from rice field photograph images. Dealing with images took in real-usage situation by general farmers is quite challenging due to various environmental factors, and rice leaf object size variation is one major factor caused performance gradation. To solve this problem, we presented a technique combining a CNN object detection with image tiling technique, based on automatically estimated width size of rice leaves in the images as a size reference for dividing the original input image. A model to estimate leaf width was created by small size CNN such as 18 layer ResNet architecture model. A new divided tiled sub-image set with uniformly sized object was generated and used as input for training a rice disease prediction model. Our technique was evaluated on 4,960 images of eight different types of rice leaf diseases, including blast, blight, brown spot, narrow brown spot, orange, red stripe, rice grassy stunt virus, and streak disease. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) for leaf width prediction task evaluated on all eight classes was 11.18% in the experiment, indicating that the leaf width prediction model performed well. The mean average precision (mAP) of the prediction performance on YOLOv4 architecture was enhanced from 87.56% to 91.14% when trained and tested with the tiled dataset. According to our study, the proposed image tiling technique improved rice disease detection efficiency.

en cs.CV, cs.AI
arXiv Open Access 2022
Transfer Learning for Retinal Vascular Disease Detection: A Pilot Study with Diabetic Retinopathy and Retinopathy of Prematurity

Guan Wang, Yusuke Kikuchi, Jinglin Yi et al.

Retinal vascular diseases affect the well-being of human body and sometimes provide vital signs of otherwise undetected bodily damage. Recently, deep learning techniques have been successfully applied for detection of diabetic retinopathy (DR). The main obstacle of applying deep learning techniques to detect most other retinal vascular diseases is the limited amount of data available. In this paper, we propose a transfer learning technique that aims to utilize the feature similarities for detecting retinal vascular diseases. We choose the well-studied DR detection as a source task and identify the early detection of retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) as the target task. Our experimental results demonstrate that our DR-pretrained approach dominates in all metrics the conventional ImageNet-pretrained transfer learning approach, currently adopted in medical image analysis. Moreover, our approach is more robust with respect to the stochasticity in the training process and with respect to reduced training samples. This study suggests the potential of our proposed transfer learning approach for a broad range of retinal vascular diseases or pathologies, where data is limited.

en cs.LG, cs.CV
arXiv Open Access 2022
Explainable vision transformer enabled convolutional neural network for plant disease identification: PlantXViT

Poornima Singh Thakur, Pritee Khanna, Tanuja Sheorey et al.

Plant diseases are the primary cause of crop losses globally, with an impact on the world economy. To deal with these issues, smart agriculture solutions are evolving that combine the Internet of Things and machine learning for early disease detection and control. Many such systems use vision-based machine learning methods for real-time disease detection and diagnosis. With the advancement in deep learning techniques, new methods have emerged that employ convolutional neural networks for plant disease detection and identification. Another trend in vision-based deep learning is the use of vision transformers, which have proved to be powerful models for classification and other problems. However, vision transformers have rarely been investigated for plant pathology applications. In this study, a Vision Transformer enabled Convolutional Neural Network model called "PlantXViT" is proposed for plant disease identification. The proposed model combines the capabilities of traditional convolutional neural networks with the Vision Transformers to efficiently identify a large number of plant diseases for several crops. The proposed model has a lightweight structure with only 0.8 million trainable parameters, which makes it suitable for IoT-based smart agriculture services. The performance of PlantXViT is evaluated on five publicly available datasets. The proposed PlantXViT network performs better than five state-of-the-art methods on all five datasets. The average accuracy for recognising plant diseases is shown to exceed 93.55%, 92.59%, and 98.33% on Apple, Maize, and Rice datasets, respectively, even under challenging background conditions. The efficiency in terms of explainability of the proposed model is evaluated using gradient-weighted class activation maps and Local Interpretable Model Agnostic Explanation.

en cs.CV
CrossRef Open Access 2021
DO WE KNOW RHINOVIRUSES AND THEIR CLINICAL IMPACT?

Irina Georgieva, Asya Stoyanova, Svetla Angelova et al.

Acute respiratory infections cause significant morbidity and mortality even before the COVID-19 pandemic. Pandemic restrictions decreased circulation of many respiratory viruses but some less troubling infections such as common cold are still circulating.
 One of the most frequent causative agents of common cold are rhinoviruses. The fact that these pathogens have been able to slip through anti-COVID preventive measures raises the question of whether we really know this group of viruses and whether these viruses cause only common cold. The clinical impact of rhinoviruses seems to be underestimated.
 In searching of an answer how rhinoviruses have slipped through the anti-COVID precautions we referred to the work of infectious disease specialists, virologists and epidemiologists -much of it conducted decades before the current pandemic. A non-systematic search of the literature is performed. Some of the latest findings on rhinoviruses along with basic knowledge on their biology and clinical impact are summarized in this review.

arXiv Open Access 2021
Subtyping patients with chronic disease using longitudinal BMI patterns

Md Mozaharul Mottalib, Jessica C Jones-Smith, Bethany Sheridan et al.

Obesity is a major health problem, increasing the risk of various major chronic diseases, such as diabetes, cancer, and stroke. While the role of obesity identified by cross-sectional BMI recordings has been heavily studied, the role of BMI trajectories is much less explored. In this study, we use a machine-learning approach to subtype individuals' risk of developing 18 major chronic diseases by using their BMI trajectories extracted from a large and geographically diverse EHR dataset capturing the health status of around two million individuals for a period of six years. We define nine new interpretable and evidence-based variables based on the BMI trajectories to cluster the patients into subgroups using the k-means clustering method. We thoroughly review each cluster's characteristics in terms of demographic, socioeconomic, and physiological measurement variables to specify the distinct properties of the patients in the clusters. In our experiments, the direct relationship of obesity with diabetes, hypertension, Alzheimer's, and dementia has been re-established and distinct clusters with specific characteristics for several of the chronic diseases have been found to be conforming or complementary to the existing body of knowledge.

arXiv Open Access 2021
Hierarchical Knowledge Guided Learning for Real-world Retinal Diseases Recognition

Lie Ju, Zhen Yu, Lin Wang et al.

In the real world, medical datasets often exhibit a long-tailed data distribution (i.e., a few classes occupy the majority of the data, while most classes have only a limited number of samples), which results in a challenging long-tailed learning scenario. Some recently published datasets in ophthalmology AI consist of more than 40 kinds of retinal diseases with complex abnormalities and variable morbidity. Nevertheless, more than 30 conditions are rarely seen in global patient cohorts. From a modeling perspective, most deep learning models trained on these datasets may lack the ability to generalize to rare diseases where only a few available samples are presented for training. In addition, there may be more than one disease for the presence of the retina, resulting in a challenging label co-occurrence scenario, also known as \textit{multi-label}, which can cause problems when some re-sampling strategies are applied during training. To address the above two major challenges, this paper presents a novel method that enables the deep neural network to learn from a long-tailed fundus database for various retinal disease recognition. Firstly, we exploit the prior knowledge in ophthalmology to improve the feature representation using a hierarchy-aware pre-training. Secondly, we adopt an instance-wise class-balanced sampling strategy to address the label co-occurrence issue under the long-tailed medical dataset scenario. Thirdly, we introduce a novel hybrid knowledge distillation to train a less biased representation and classifier. We conducted extensive experiments on four databases, including two public datasets and two in-house databases with more than one million fundus images. The experimental results demonstrate the superiority of our proposed methods with recognition accuracy outperforming the state-of-the-art competitors, especially for these rare diseases.

en cs.CV
arXiv Open Access 2021
Exploring convolutional neural networks with transfer learning for diagnosing Lyme disease from skin lesion images

Sk Imran Hossain, Jocelyn de Goër de Herve, Md Shahriar Hassan et al.

Lyme disease which is one of the most common infectious vector-borne diseases manifests itself in most cases with erythema migrans (EM) skin lesions. Recent studies show that convolutional neural networks (CNNs) perform well to identify skin lesions from images. Lightweight CNN based pre-scanner applications for resource-constrained mobile devices can help users with early diagnosis of Lyme disease and prevent the transition to a severe late form thanks to appropriate antibiotic therapy. Also, resource-intensive CNN based robust computer applications can assist non-expert practitioners with an accurate diagnosis. The main objective of this study is to extensively analyze the effectiveness of CNNs for diagnosing Lyme disease from images and to find out the best CNN architectures considering resource constraints. First, we created an EM dataset with the help of expert dermatologists from Clermont-Ferrand University Hospital Center of France. Second, we benchmarked this dataset for twenty-three CNN architectures customized from VGG, ResNet, DenseNet, MobileNet, Xception, NASNet, and EfficientNet architectures in terms of predictive performance, computational complexity, and statistical significance. Third, to improve the performance of the CNNs, we used custom transfer learning from ImageNet pre-trained models as well as pre-trained the CNNs with the skin lesion dataset HAM10000. Fourth, for model explainability, we utilized Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping to visualize the regions of input that are significant to the CNNs for making predictions. Fifth, we provided guidelines for model selection based on predictive performance and computational complexity.

en eess.IV, cs.CV
arXiv Open Access 2021
Analysis of chronic diseases progression using stochastic modeling

Iman Mohammed Attia Ebd-Elkhalik Abo-Elreesh

This book handles the fatty liver disease from the bio-statistical point of view . It discusses the disease process in the simple general form of health-disease-death multi-states model . Continuous Time Markov Chains are used to estimate the rate transition matrix utilizing the MLE and Quasi-Newton formula , once obtained , the probability transition matrix can be estimated by exponentiation of the rate matrix . The probability transition matrix can also be obtained by solving the forward Kolmogorov differential equations , which yields more stable solution than exponentiation of rate matrix. The disease process is expanded in 9 states model to explain the transition among the detailed stages of the disease process , in more elaborate form. The probability transition matrix is used to estimate the number of patients in each stage , this matrix along with the rate transition matrix , both are used to estimate life expectancy of patients is each stage. These statistical indices are of great value as they can help the health policy makers and medical insurance managers to allocate the resources for investigating and treating patients in different stages of the disease . This method is of a high potential value to be used in longitudinal studies conducted by the pharmaceutical companies to evaluate the effect of anti-fibrotic drugs used to treat patients within the initial stages of fibrosis . Poisson regression model is also used to relate the high risk covariates such as type 2 diabetes, hypercholesterolemia , obesity and hypertension with the rate of progression and evolution of the stages of the disease over time. The general model , the expanded model and the model with covariates are illustrated by artificial hypothetical examples to demonstrate the mathematical statistical indices .

en q-bio.OT

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