Hasil untuk "Risk in industry. Risk management"

I. Zolotova

It is necessary to understand what cross-subsidization is - good or bad, evil or good, a problem that needs to be solved, or a necessity that should exist now. In my report, I will talk about the essence and history of the emergence of the phenomenon of cross-subsidization, I will describe the current state in order to understand where we are now, and the promising trends of this phenomenon that exist in public space, legislation, the heads and minds of science and government. I will also present a model for assessing the functioning of a consumer under conditions of work in the power system and in the case of his transition to its own generation with different amounts of cross-subsidization, I will dwell on the results of the simulation. The generated model is a toolkit for market participants that will help them choose the most profitable and efficient way of supplying energy.

Lexin Lin, Marcus Abrahamsson

Johannes Wernz

Dimitris N. Chorafas

Yuwan Li

Adedeji B. Badiru

A. S. Fedyanin

JinYue Liu, HongMei Zhang

Vitor Sousa, Nuno Marques De Almeida, Luis Alves Dias

Zhengwei Yu, Yumei Wu

Paul Slovic

In a bold and insightful speech before the National Academy of Sciences at the beginning of his second term as the administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), William Ruckelshaus called for a governmentwide process for managing risks that involved the public. Arguing that the government must accommodate the will of the people, he quoted Thomas Jefferson's famous dictum to the effect that "if we think [the people] not enlightened enough to exercise their control with a wholesome discretion, the remedy is not to take it from them, but to inform their discretion" (Ruckelshaus 1983, p. 1028). Midway into his tenure as the EPA administrator, Ruckelshaus's experiences in attempting to implement Jefferson's philosophy led him to a more sober evaluation: "Easy for him to say. As we have seen, informing discretion about risk has itself a high risk of failure" (Ruckelshaus, 1984, p. 160). This chapter attempts to illustrate why the goal of informing the public about risk issues—which in principle seems easy to attain—is surprisingly difficult to accomplish. To be effective, risk communicators must recognize and overcome a number of obstacles that have their roots in the limitations of scientific risk assessment and the idiosyncrasies of the human mind. Doing an adequate job of communicating means finding comprehensible ways of presenting complex technical material that is clouded by uncertainty and inherently difficult to understand. Greater awareness of the nature of risk perceptions, the fundamental values and concerns that underlie those perceptions, and the difficulties of communicating about risk should enhance the chances of designing an environment in which all parties can cooperate in solving the common problems of risk management. Risk assessment is a complex discipline, not fully understood by its practitioners, much less by the lay public. At the technical level, there is still much debate over terminology and techniques, and technical limitations and disagreements among experts inevitably affect communication in the adversarial climate that surrounds many risk issues. Those conveying these issues to the public must be aware of the strengths and limits of the methods they use to generate this information. In particular, such risk communicators need to understand that risk assessments are constructed from theoretical models that are based on assumptions and subjective judgments.

B. John Garrick

G.A. Chamberlain