Before, during and after the start of the Dutch Revolt, thousands of people, principally Calvinists, left the Low Countries for England. They established communities in more than twenty towns including the borough of King's Lynn in west Norfolk. Exiles from Flanders and Holland began arriving in Lynn in 1567, and they soon established a Calvinist church community there. A 1571 census indicates that the exile community had more than 200 members, many of whom worked in the textile trade. In 1572, in the early months of the Dutch Revolt, the minister returned to the Low Countries. Thereafter, we have little information on the exile church in Lynn, although exiles did continue to produce textiles, which were sealed in Norwich. This article analyses the history of the exile community and church in Lynn. It addresses questions such as where the exiles came from, why they moved to Lynn and the practices and positions they adopted and networks they created. Furthermore, it explores the relationship between the exile communities in Lynn and Norwich. Several of the church leaders returned to the Low Countries. The article therefore explores their role in building the Reformed Church there. Finally, it challenges previous historiography on Calvinist exiles in Norfolk by suggesting that attention should be paid not only to the exile communities in Norwich but also to those in other Norfolk towns such as Lynn.
Alisha Ukani, Katherine Izhikevich, Shambhavi Mittal
et al.
Understanding where Internet services are hosted, and how users reach them, has captured the interest of government regulators and others concerned with the privacy of data flows. In this paper we focus on government websites -- services which arguably merit a higher expectation of protection against foreign surveillance or interference -- and seek to identify countries in the middle (CitMs): countries that are neither the source nor destination in a path for a resident visiting their online government services. Finding these CitMs raises daunting methodological challenges. We propose a framework to identify CitMs and use a pilot study of 149 countries to refine our methodology before conducting an in-depth measurement study of 11 countries. For our focused study, we compile an extensive set of websites hosting government services and analyze over 9,000 IP-level paths from vantage points in those countries to these services. We conduct extensive manual validation to corroborate or discard paths based on the aforementioned challenges, and discuss paths that experience unexpected CitMs.
We apply the concept of Rayleigh-Jeans thermalization of classical fields for a description of the world Gross Domestic Product (GDP) distribution over countries. The thermalization appears due to a variety of interactions between countries with conservation of two integrals being total GDP and probability (norm). In such a case there is an emergence of Rayleigh-Jeans condensation at states with low GDP. This phenomenon has been studied theoretically and experimentally in multimode optical fibers and we argue that it is at the origin of emergence of poverty and oligarchic phases for GDP of countries. A similar phenomenon has been discussed recently in the framework of the Wealth Thermalization Hypothesis to explain the high inequality of wealth distribution in human society and companies at Stock Exchange markets. We show that the Rayleigh-Jeans thermalization well describes the GDP distribution during the last 50 years.
Giovanni Romanò, Emanuele Aliverti, Daniele Durante
Although traditional literature on mortality modeling has focused on single countries in isolation, recent contributions have progressively moved toward joint models for multiple countries. Besides favoring borrowing of information to improve age-period forecasts, this perspective has also potentials to infer local similarities among countries' mortality patterns in specific age classes and periods that could unveil unexplored demographic trends, while guiding the design of targeted policies. Advancements along this latter relevant direction are currently undermined by the lack of a multi-country model capable of incorporating the core structures of age-period mortality surfaces together with clustering patterns among countries that are not global, but rather vary locally across different combinations of ages and periods. We cover this gap by developing a novel Bayesian model for log-mortality rates that characterizes the age structure of mortality through a B-spline expansion whose country-specific dynamic coefficients encode both changes of this age structure across periods and also local clustering patterns among countries under a time-dependent random partition prior for these country-specific dynamic coefficients. While flexible, this formulation admits tractable posterior inference leveraging a suitably-designed Gibbs-sampler. The application to mortality data from 14 countries unveils local similarities highlighting both previously-recognized demographic phenomena and also yet-unexplored trends.
BACKGROUND European Action on Secondary and Primary Prevention by Intervention to Reduce Events (EUROASPIRE) V in primary care was carried out by the European Society of Cardiology EURObservational Research Programme in 2016-2018. The main objective was to determine whether the 2016 Joint European Societies' guidelines on cardiovascular disease prevention in people at high cardiovascular risk have been implemented in clinical practice. METHODS The method used was a cross-sectional survey in 78 centres from 16 European countries. Patients without a history of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease either started on blood pressure and/or lipid and/or glucose lowering treatments were identified and interviewed ≥ 6 months after the start of medication. RESULTS A total of 3562 medical records were reviewed and 2759 patients (57.6% women; mean age 59.0 ± 11.6 years) interviewed (interview rate 70.0%). The risk factor control was poor with 18.1% of patients being smokers, 43.5% obese (body mass index ≥30 kg/m2) and 63.8% centrally obese (waist circumference ≥88 cm for women, ≥102 cm for men). Of patients on blood pressure lowering medication 47.0% reached the target of <140/90 mm Hg (<140/85 mm Hg in people with diabetes). Among treated dyslipidaemic patients only 46.9% attained low density lipoprotein-cholesterol target of <2.6 mmol/l. Among people treated for type 2 diabetes mellitus, 65.2% achieved the HbA1c target of <7.0%. CONCLUSION The primary care arm of the EUROASPIRE V survey revealed that large proportions of people at high cardiovascular disease risk have unhealthy lifestyles and inadequate control of blood pressure, lipids and diabetes. Thus, the potential to reduce the risk of future cardiovascular disease throughout Europe by improved preventive cardiology programmes is substantial.
Mohammed Alqadhi, Ali Alkinoon, Saeed Salem
et al.
This paper examines free content websites (FCWs) and premium content websites (PCWs) in different countries, comparing them to general websites. The focus is on the distribution of malicious websites and their correlation with the national cyber security index (NCSI), which measures a country's cyber security maturity and its ability to deter the hosting of such malicious websites. By analyzing a dataset comprising 1,562 FCWs and PCWs, along with Alexa's top million websites dataset sample, we discovered that a majority of the investigated websites are hosted in the United States. Interestingly, the United States has a relatively low NCSI, mainly due to a lower score in privacy policy development. Similar patterns were observed for other countries With varying NCSI criteria. Furthermore, we present the distribution of various categories of FCWs and PCWs across countries. We identify the top hosting countries for each category and provide the percentage of discovered malicious websites in those countries. Ultimately, the goal of this study is to identify regional vulnerabilities in hosting FCWs and guide policy improvements at the country level to mitigate potential cyber threats.
Remittances have become one of the driving forces of development for countries all over the world, especially in lower-middle-income nations. This paper empirically investigates the association between remittance flows and financial development in 4 lower-middle-income countries of Latin America. By using a panel data set from 1996 to 2019, the study revealed that remittances and financial development are positively associated in these countries. The study also discovered that foreign direct investment and inflation were positively correlated with financial development while trade openness had a negative association with financial development. Therefore, policymakers of these countries should implement and formulate such policies so that migrant workers would have the incentives to send money through formal channels, which will augment the effect of remittances on the recipient country.
W. D. Negash, Tadele Biresaw Belachew, D. B. Asmamaw
Background Long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARC) have been hailed as one of the safest and most effective methods of contraception. However, the use of LARC is low in the world, including Sub Saharan Africa; therefore, the aim of this study was to assess LARC utilization and associated factors among modern contraceptive users in high fertility SSA countries. Methods Data for this study was obtained from the most recent Demographic and Health Surveys. A total weighted sample of 14,828 reproductive age women was included. A multilevel mixed-effect binary logistic regression model was fitted to identify the significant associated factors of long acting reversible contraception utilization. Finally, the Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR) with 95% confidence interval was used to declare as statistical significance. Results Overall prevalence of LARC utilization was observed to be 20.1% (19.45, 20.74). The factors significantly associated with the utilization were women’s age ≥ 35 years (AOR = 1.42; 95% CI: 1.19,1.68), having media exposure (AOR = 1.13; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.28), number of alive children: 1–2 (AOR = 2.35; 95% CI: 1.38, 4.01), 3–4 (AOR = 2.98; 95% CI: 1.74, 5.10), $$\ge$$ 5 (AOR = 2.82; 95% CI:1.63, 4.86), have no history of abortion (AOR = 1.33; 95% CI: 1.17,1.51) and who have no big problem with distance to the health facility (AOR = 1.29; 95% CI: 1.16, 1.43). Conclusion The use of long acting reversible contraception in this study was relatively low. To improve the utilization of long acting reversible contraceptives governments, policymakers, and stakeholders should implement health promotion strategies through media and improve accessibilities of health facilities.
BACKGROUND Eggs are a rich source of essential nutrients, but they are also a source of dietary cholesterol. Therefore, some guidelines recommend limiting egg consumption. However, there is contradictory evidence on the impact of eggs on diseases, largely based on studies conducted in high-income countries. OBJECTIVES Our aim was to assess the association of egg consumption with blood lipids, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and mortality in large global studies involving populations from low-, middle-, and high-income countries. METHODS We studied 146,011 individuals from 21 countries in the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) study. Egg consumption was recorded using country-specific validated FFQs. We also studied 31,544 patients with vascular disease in 2 multinational prospective studies: ONTARGET (Ongoing Telmisartan Alone and in Combination with Ramipril Global End Point Trial) and TRANSCEND (Telmisartan Randomized Assessment Study in ACEI Intolerant Subjects with Cardiovascular Disease). We calculated HRs using multivariable Cox frailty models with random intercepts to account for clustering by study center separately within each study. RESULTS In the PURE study, we recorded 14,700 composite events (8932 deaths and 8477 CVD events). In the PURE study, after excluding those with history of CVD, higher intake of egg (≥7 egg/wk compared with <1 egg/wk intake) was not significantly associated with blood lipids, composite outcome (HR: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.89, 1.04; P-trend = 0.74), total mortality (HR: 1.04; 95% CI: 0.94, 1.15; P-trend = 0.38), or major CVD (HR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.83, 1.01; P-trend = 0.20). Similar results were observed in ONTARGET/TRANSCEND studies for composite outcome (HR 0.97; 95% CI: 0.76, 1.25; P-trend = 0.09), total mortality (HR: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.62, 1.24; P-trend = 0.55), and major CVD (HR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.73, 1.29; P-trend = 0.12). CONCLUSIONS In 3 large international prospective studies including ∼177,000 individuals, 12,701 deaths, and 13,658 CVD events from 50 countries in 6 continents, we did not find significant associations between egg intake and blood lipids, mortality, or major CVD events. The ONTARGET and TRANSCEND trials were registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT00153101. The PURE trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT03225586.
The connection between warfare and an increased wolf presence or even wolf attacks is a recurrent theme in European narrative sources. Many historical studies have also commented on the widespread belief in this connection and suggested that armed conflicts instigated a breakdown of the standard wolf-human relationship. In peacetime, wolves generally avoided humans and remained outside human communities. This article argues that the close link between wolves and warfare in the history of the Low Countries is far more the result of a complex interplay between human perceptions of nature and the ecological impact of combat. Wolves could only profit from human conflict in very specific circumstances, yet these exceptions became part of a widespread narrative since the High Middle Ages, because they confirmed peoples’ association of wolves with wilderness. This narrative also explains why wolf hunting exhibited strong similarities to fighting human enemies. Het verband tussen oorlog en een toenemende aanwezigheid van wolven, of zelfs aanvallen van wolven, is een terugkerend thema in Europese literaire bronnen. Het is niet verwonderlijk dat ook veel geschiedwetenschappelijke studies wijzen op deze connectie en opperen dat gewapende conflicten de gebruikelijke relatie tussen wolf en mens verstoorden. In vredestijd vermeden wolven mensen over het algemeen en bleven ze ver van menselijke bewoning. Dit artikel beargumenteert echter dat de nauwe associatie tussen wolven en oorlogsvoering in de geschiedenis van de Lage Landen veeleer het resultaat is van een complexe wisselwerking tussen menselijke percepties van natuur en de ecologische impact van oorlog. Wolven konden slechts in bijzondere omstandigheden van oorlogsvoering profiteren, maar deze uitzonderingen werden niettemin onderdeel van een wijdverspreid literair topos vanaf de Hoge Middeleeuwen omdat ze de menselijke associatie van wolven met wildernis bevestigden. Dit topos verklaart ook waarom wolvenjacht grote gelijkenissen vertoonde met de strijd tegen menselijke vijanden.Actualiteitsparagraaf Angst voor de wolfWolven en gewapende conflicten in de Lage Landen, 1000-1800Na meer dan een eeuw afwezigheid heeft de wolf Nederland en België opnieuw veroverd. Dat gaat gepaard met heftige discussies tussen voor- en tegenstanders van de wolf, angst bij burgers die vrezen voor het lot van hun kinderen en bij boeren die bang zijn dat hun vee ten prooi valt aan de wolf. Dat is niets nieuws, in het verleden werden wolven ook gevreesd. Toen legden bewoners van wat we nu de Benelux noemen, sterk het verband tussen de komst van de wolf en oorlog. Sander Govaerts onderzoekt in zijn artikel dit verband tussen gewapende conflicten en een heropleving van wolf populaties. Hoewel wolven een groot aanpassingsvermogen hebben, zo blijkt uit het artikel, leidden oorlogen niet per definitie tot grote groei van het aantal wolven, zoals tijdgenoten wel vreesden. Het waren juist de uitzonderlijke keren dat dit wel het geval was die het algemeen aanvaarde stereotype van de bloeddorstige wolf bevestigden en versterkten. De nauwe associatie tussen wolven en oorlog wettigde echter wel het nemen van doorgedreven maatregelen om de soort uit te roeien.
Extreme weather events can have severe impacts on national economies, leading the recovery of low- to middle-income countries to become reliant on foreign financial aid. Foreign aid, however, is slow and uncertain. Therefore, the Sendai Framework and the Paris Agreement advocate for more resilient financial instruments like sovereign catastrophe risk pools. Existing pools, however, might not fully exploit financial resilience potentials because they were not designed with the goal of maximizing risk diversification and they pool risk only regionally. To address this, we introduce a method that forms pools maximizing risk diversification and which selects countries with low bilateral correlations or low shares in the pool risk. We apply the method to explore the benefits of global pooling with respect to regional pooling. We find that global pooling increases risk diversification, it lowers countries shares in the pool risk and it increases the number of countries profiting from risk pooling.
David J. Whitworth, Rowan J. Smith, Ralf S. Klessen
et al.
Many studies concluded that magnetic fields suppress star formation in molecular clouds and Milky Way like galaxies. However, most of these studies are based on fully developed fields that have reached the saturation level, with little work on investigating how an initial weak primordial field affects star formation in low metallicity environments. In this paper, we investigate the impact of a weak initial field on low metallicity dwarf galaxies. We perform high-resolution AREPO simulations of five isolated dwarf galaxies. Two models are hydrodynamical, two start with a primordial magnetic field of 10$^{-6} μ$G and different sub-solar metallicities, and one starts with a saturated field of 10$^{-2} μ$G. All models include a non-equilibrium, time-dependent chemical network that includes the effects of gas shielding from the ambient ultraviolet field. Sink particles form directly from the gravitational collapse of gas and are treated as star-forming clumps that can accrete gas. We vary the ambient uniform far ultraviolet field, and cosmic ray ionization rate between 1\% and 10\% of solar values. We find that the magnetic field has little impact on the global star formation rate, which is in tension with some previously published results. We further find that the initial field strength has little impact on the global star formation rate. We show that an increase in the mass fractions of both molecular hydrogen and cold gas, along with changes in the perpendicular gas velocity dispersion and the magnetic field acting in the weak-field model, overcome the expected suppression in star formation.
This study examined the relationship between trade facilitation and economic growth among the middle-income countries from 2010 to 2020 using 94 countries made up of 48 lower-middle-income countries and 46 upper-middle-income countries. The study utilized both difference and system Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) since the cross-sections (N) were greater than the periods (T). The study found that container port traffic, quality of trade and transport-related infrastructure have a strong influence on imports and exports of goods and national income while trade tariff hurts the growth of the countries. The study also found that most of the trade facilitation indicators indicated a weak positive influence on trade flows and economic growth. Based on these findings, the study recommends that reforms aimed at significantly lowering the costs of trading across borders among middle-income countries should be highly prioritized in policy formulations, with a focus on the export side by reducing at-the-border documentation, time, and real costs of trading across borders while the international organizations should continue to report the set of Trade Facilitation Indicators (TFIs) that identify areas for action and enable the potential impact of reforms to be assessed.
R. Sherafat-Kazemzadeh, G. Gaumer, Dhwani Hariharan
et al.
Background Gender inequality and poverty exacerbate the burden of HIV/AIDS among women in Africa. AIDS awareness and educational campaigns have been inadequate in many countries and rates of HIV testing and adherence to condom use remains considerably low, especially among married women. We investigate whether higher HIV knowledge is equally effective in lowering risky behaviors among groups of women with different levels of wealth and agency. Methods Pooled data on 113 151 adult married women from Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) in 25 African countries was used (2010 to 2016). Agency was defined as women’s ability to refuse sex and ask her partner to use a condom, plus have a role in decision making in household spending and health-related issues. The lowest tertile of DHS wealth index defined poverty. Questions about HIV prevention and mother-to-child transmission were used to create a scale for knowledge (0-5). Use of condom, HIV testing, absence of sexually transmitted disease (STD), and having one partner were dependent variables. Regression models investigated the effect of agency and knowledge as predictors of behaviors. Separate additional models were run to measure associations of each behavior with knowledge scores on groups of women divided by agency and poverty. Analyses were adjusted for demographic factors, history of pregnancy, wife-beating attitude, and country dummies. Results Significantly higher risk and lower level of protective factors exist for poor women who lack agency. Knowledge had positive associations with a better score in behavior, higher rate of condom use and testing for HIV both among poor and not poor women. When examining compound effects of agency and poverty, absence of agency reduces the positive effect of knowledge on lowering STD rate and overall behavior score among poor women. It also nullifies the effect of knowledge on condom use in both wealth groups. Conclusion Knowledge of HIV does not exert its potential protective effect when women live in poverty compounded with lack of agency. Success of anti-HIV programs should be tailored to dynamics of risk and sociocultural and economic context of target populations.
In this paper, we have analysed the level of advancement in circular economy (CE) in the EU-28 countries. First, we used a synthetic measure to examine CE advancement in EU countries in each of the Eurostat CE distinguished areas, i.e., production and consumption, waste management, secondary raw materials, and competitiveness and innovation. For the empirical analysis, we applied 17 Eurostat indicators to the CE areas. To find the synthetic measure in 2010, 2012, 2014 and 2016, we used multidimensional comparative analysis, i.e., a zero unitarisation method. Second, based on the synthetic measures of the CE areas, we created a general synthetic measure of the CE advancement of the EU-28 countries as well as the countries’ rankings. Third, we classified the countries into groups according to their level of advancement in CE, i.e., high level, medium–high level, medium–low level and low level groups. Finally, we applied a similarity measure to evaluate the correlation between obtained rankings in two most extreme moments in the period of analysis (2010, 2016). Our analysis covers all EU member states, as well as “old” and “new” EU countries separately. Our results confirm that highly developed Benelux countries, i.e., Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Belgium, have the highest CE advancement level. Malta, Cyprus, Estonia and Greece are the least advanced in CE practice. Apart from that, on average, there is some progress in CE implementation, significant disproportions between the EU countries were observed, especially among the “new” member states.
BackgroundPhysical inactivity and sedentary behavior are major concerns for public health. Although global initiatives have been successful in monitoring physical activity (PA) worldwide, there is no systematic action for the monitoring of correlates of these behaviors, especially in low- and middle-income countries. Here we describe the prevalence and distribution of PA domains and sitting time in population sub-groups of six south American countries.MethodsData from the South American Physical Activity and Sedentary Behavior Network (SAPASEN) were used, which includes representative data from Argentina (n = 26,932), Brazil (n = 52,490), Chile (n = 3719), Ecuador (n = 19,851), Peru (n = 8820), and Suriname (n = 5170). Self-reported leisure time (≥150 min/week), (≥150 min/week), transport (≥10 min/week), and occupational PA total (≥10 min/week), as well as sitting time (≥4 h/day) were captured in each national survey. Sex, age, income, and educational status were exposures. Descriptive statistics and harmonized random effect meta-analyses were conducted.ResultsThe prevalence of PA during leisure (Argentina: 29.2% to Peru: 8.6%), transport (Peru: 69.7% to Ecuador: 8.8%), and occupation (Chile: 60.4 to Brazil 18.3%), and ≥4 h/day of sitting time (Peru: 78.8% to Brazil: 14.8%) differed widely between countries. Moreover, total PA ranged between 60.4% (Brazil) and 82.9% (Chile) among men, and between 49.4% (Ecuador) and 74.9% (Chile) among women. Women (low leisure and occupational PA) and those with a higher educational level (low transportation and occupational PA as well as high sitting time) were less active. Concerning total PA, men, young and middle-aged adults of high educational status (college or more) were, respectively, 47% [OR = 0.53 (95% CI = 0.36–0.78), I2 = 76.6%], 25% [OR = 0.75 (95% CI = 0.61-0.93), I2 = 30.4%] and 32% [OR = 0.68 (95% CI = 0.47-1.00), I2 = 80.3%] less likely to be active.ConclusionsPA and sitting time present great ranges and tend to vary across sex and educational status in South American countries. Country-specific exploration of trends and population-specific interventions may be warranted.
Roberto Antonietti, Paolo Falbo, Fulvio Fontini
et al.
International trade is based on a set of complex relationships between different countries that can be modelled as an extremely dense network of interconnected agents. On the one hand, this network might favour the economic growth of countries, but on the other, it can also favour the diffusion of diseases, like the COVID-19. In this paper, we study whether, and to what extent, the topology of the trade network can explain the rate of COVID-19 diffusion and mortality across countries. We compute the countries' centrality measures and we apply the community detection methodology based on communicability distance. Then, we use these measures as focal regressors in a negative binomial regression framework. In doing so, we also compare the effect of different measures of centrality. Our results show that the number of infections and fatalities are larger in countries with a higher centrality in the global trade network.
Background: We estimate the overall quality of response to the Covid-19 pandemic in the first 18 months, using a small number of known parameters and a proposed method that is reasonably robust to the uncertainties in the data. Methods: The population-normalized values of deaths, diagnostic tests, confirmed cases, and doses of vaccines administered were considered. The average infection-fatality-rate provides us a baseline on potential deaths, and along with the test positivity rates in the formula, they add robustness to the estimates of the quality of response. Results: The scores are used to rank countries in two lists representing 84 large countries with a population greater than 10 million, and 85 countries with smaller populations. Additional possible corrections in the rankings of countries to include the per capita purchasing power and the age distribution, are also shown. In a supplementary note, an analysis of the robustness of the overall ranking list to the expected uncertainties in the data, and the maximum possible changes in the ranking of any country are presented. Conclusion: In many countries, the outcomes are not significantly better than the baseline. A few significant inferences are pondered that may help unravel the causes of the poor outcomes.