Power transmission corridor hazard segmentation (PTCHS) aims to separate transmission equipment and surrounding hazards from complex background, conveying great significance to maintaining electric power transmission safety. Recently, the Segment Anything Model (SAM) has emerged as a foundational vision model and pushed the boundaries of segmentation tasks. However, SAM struggles to deal with the target objects in complex transmission corridor scenario, especially those with fine structure. In this paper, we propose ELE-SAM, adapting SAM for the PTCHS task. Technically, we develop a Context-Aware Prompt Adapter to achieve better prompt tokens via incorporating global-local features and focusing more on key regions. Subsequently, to tackle the hazard objects with fine structure in complex background, we design a High-Fidelity Mask Decoder by leveraging multi-granularity mask features and then scaling them to a higher resolution. Moreover, to train ELE-SAM and advance this field, we construct the ELE-40K benchmark, the first large-scale and real-world dataset for PTCHS including 44,094 image-mask pairs. Experimental results for ELE-40K demonstrate the superior performance that ELE-SAM outperforms the baseline model with the average 16.8% mIoU and 20.6% mBIoU performance improvement. Moreover, compared with the state-of-the-art method on HQSeg-44K, the average 2.9% mIoU and 3.8% mBIoU absolute improvements further validate the effectiveness of our method on high-quality generic object segmentation. The source code and dataset are available at https://github.com/Hhaizee/ELE-SAM.
Henrique Castro-Pires, Deniz Kattwinkel, Jan Knoepfle
We characterize incentive compatible mechanisms in environments with hidden types and flexible hidden actions. Our approach introduces extended recommendation schedules that specify prescribed actions also off-path, after misreports. This approach yields a tractable and complete characterization of incentive compatibility, which includes a generalized integral monotonicity condition capturing the interaction between adverse selection and moral hazard. We demonstrate the usefulness of the characterization across a range of contracting problems.
In oncology, conduct well-powered time-to-event randomized clinical trials may be challenging due to limited patietns number. Many designs for single-arm trials (SATs) have recently emerged as an alternative to overcome this issue. They rely on the (modified) one-sample log-rank test (OSLRT) under the proportional hazards to compare the survival curves of an experimental and an external control group. We extend Finkelstein's formulation of OSLRT as a score test by using a piecewise exponential model for early, middle and delayed treatment effects and an accelerated hazards model for crossing hazards. We adapt the restricted mean survival time based test and construct a combination test procedure (max-Combo) to SATs. The performance of the developed are evaluated through a simulation study. The score tests are as conservative as the OSLRT and have the highest power when the data generation matches the model underlying score tests. The max-Combo test is more powerful than the OSLRT whatever the scenarios and is thus an interesting approach as compared to a score test. Uncertainty on the survival curve estimated of the external control group and its model misspecification may have a significant impact on performance. For illustration, we apply the developed tests on real data examples.
Jong Woo Nam, Eun Young Choi, Jennifer A. Ailshire
et al.
Environmental hazards place certain individuals at disproportionately higher risks. As these hazards increasingly endanger human health, precise identification of the most vulnerable population subgroups is critical for public health. Moderated multiple regression (MMR) offers a straightforward method for investigating this by adding interaction terms between the exposure to a hazard and other population characteristics to a linear regression model. However, when the vulnerabilities are hidden within a cross-section of many characteristics, MMR is often limited in its capabilities to find any meaningful discoveries. Here, we introduce a hybrid method, named regression-guided neural networks (ReGNN), which utilizes artificial neural networks (ANNs) to non-linearly combine predictors, generating a latent representation that interacts with a focal predictor (i.e. variable measuring exposure to an environmental hazard). We showcase the use of ReGNN for investigating the population heterogeneity in the health effects of exposure to air pollution (PM2.5) on cognitive functioning scores. We demonstrate that population heterogeneity that would otherwise be hidden using traditional MMR can be found using ReGNN by comparing its results to the fit results of the traditional MMR models. In essence, ReGNN is a novel tool that enhances traditional regression models by effectively summarizing and quantifying an individual's susceptibility to health risks.
When planning a clinical trial for a time-to-event endpoint, we require an estimated effect size and need to consider the type of effect. Usually, an effect of proportional hazards is assumed with the hazard ratio as the corresponding effect measure. Thus, the standard procedure for survival data is generally based on a single-stage log-rank test. Knowing that the assumption of proportional hazards is often violated and sufficient knowledge to derive reasonable effect sizes is usually unavailable, such an approach is relatively rigid. We introduce a more flexible procedure by combining two methods designed to be more robust in case we have little to no prior knowledge. First, we employ a more flexible adaptive multi-stage design instead of a single-stage design. Second, we apply combination-type tests in the first stage of our suggested procedure to benefit from their robustness under uncertainty about the deviation pattern. We can then use the data collected during this period to choose a more specific single-weighted log-rank test for the subsequent stages. In this step, we employ Royston-Parmar spline models to extrapolate the survival curves to make a reasonable decision. Based on a real-world data example, we show that our approach can save a trial that would otherwise end with an inconclusive result. Additionally, our simulation studies demonstrate a sufficient power performance while maintaining more flexibility.
Magnetic adhesion tracked climbing robots are widely utilized in high-altitude inspection, welding, and cleaning tasks due to their ability to perform various operations against gravity on vertical or inclined walls. However, during operation, the robot may experience overturning torque caused by its own weight and load, which can lead to the detachment of magnetic plates and subsequently pose safety risks. This paper proposes an improved ICNN-LSTM network classification method based on Micro-Electro-Mechanical Systems (MEMS) attitude sensor data for real-time monitoring and assessment of hazardous states in magnetic adhesion tracked climbing robots. Firstly, a data acquisition strategy for attitude sensors capable of capturing minute vibrations is designed. Secondly, a feature extraction and classification model combining an Improved Convolutional Neural Network (ICNN) with a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network is proposed. Experimental validation demonstrates that the proposed minute vibration sensing method achieves significant results, and the proposed classification model consistently exhibits high accuracy compared to other models. The research findings provide effective technical support for the safe operation of climbing robots
Perturbed by natural hazards, community-level infrastructure networks operate like many-body systems, with behaviors emerging from coupling individual component dynamics with group correlations and interactions. It follows that we can borrow methods from statistical physics to study the response of infrastructure systems to natural disasters. This study aims to construct a joint probability distribution model to describe the post-hazard state of infrastructure networks and propose an efficient surrogate model of the joint distribution for large-scale systems. Specifically, we present maximum entropy modeling of the regional impact of natural hazards on civil infrastructures. Provided with the current state of knowledge, the principle of maximum entropy yields the ``most unbiased`` joint distribution model for the performances of infrastructures. In the general form, the model can handle multivariate performance states and higher-order correlations. In a particular yet typical scenario of binary performance state variables with knowledge of their mean and pairwise correlation, the joint distribution reduces to the Ising model in statistical physics. In this context, we propose using a dichotomized Gaussian model as an efficient surrogate for the maximum entropy model, facilitating the application to large systems. Using the proposed method, we investigate the seismic collective behavior of a large-scale road network (with 8,694 nodes and 26,964 links) in San Francisco, showcasing the non-trivial collective behaviors of infrastructure systems.
We study an optimal reinsurance problem under a diffusion risk model for an insurer who aims to minimize the probability of lifetime ruin. To rule out moral hazard issues, we only consider moral-hazard-free reinsurance contracts by imposing the incentive compatibility constraint on indemnity functions. The reinsurance premium is calculated under an extended distortion premium principle, in which the distortion function is not necessarily concave. We first show that an optimal reinsurance contract always exists and then derive two sufficient and necessary conditions to characterize it. Due to the presence of the incentive compatibility constraint and the nonconcavity of the distortion, the optimal contract is obtained as a solution to a double obstacle problem. At last, we apply the general result to study three examples and obtain the optimal contract in (semi)closed form.
Estimating customer lifetime value (CLV or LTV) is extremely important for making better business decisions. The proposed flexible proportional hazards model allows an estimation of lifetime value in contractual settings. This approach takes advantage of a churn model, which is assumed to be available.
Abstract. When nuclear power plants are dismantled, only a small portion is heavily contaminated with radioactivity and must be stored in a repository. The remaining material, mainly concrete rubble (construction waste), is decontaminated if necessary and can be stored in conventional surface landfills after clearance. The focus of this work is on the modelling of such landfills and the radioactive substances during raining events. The influence of the heterogeneous nature of the construction rubble should also be investigated. The simulation environment DuMux, mainly developed by our institute, is used to compare different modelling approaches. It follows a previous work by Merk (2012). The research work is supported and accompanied by the Federal Office for Radiation Protection (BfS). Parts of the research initiatives of the BfS in the area of clearance of materials with negligible radioactivity are also presented.
The objective of this work was to know the amount and frequency with which the people of Arandas in the Altos de Jalisco region use disposable cups and then know how willing they are to use edible cups made with natural gelatin. In this regard, it is worth commenting that these can not only be nutritious for those who consume them (since gelatin is a fortifying nutrient created from the skin and bone of pigs and cows), but they could also be degraded in a few days or be ingested by animals. To collect the information, a survey consisting of six questions was used, which was applied to 31 people by telephone and another 345 personally (in both cases they were applied to young people and adults). The results show that the residents of that town considerably use plastic cups in the different events that take place each week, which are more numerous during the patron saint festivities or at the end of the year. Even so, these people would be willing to change these habits, although for this, measures must be taken that do not affect the companies in that area, which work mainly with plastics and generate a high percentage of jobs.
Carla Moreira, Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez, Ana Cristina Santos
et al.
In Survival Analysis, the observed lifetimes often correspond to individuals for which the event occurs within a specific calendar time interval. With such interval sampling, the lifetimes are doubly truncated at values determined by the birth dates and the sampling interval. This double truncation may induce a systematic bias in estimation, so specific corrections are needed. A relevant target in Survival Analysis is the hazard rate function, which represents the instantaneous probability for the event of interest. In this work we introduce a flexible estimation approach for the hazard rate under double truncation. Specifically, a kernel smoother is considered, in both a fully nonparametric setting and a semiparametric setting in which the incidence process fits a given parametric model. Properties of the kernel smoothers are investigated both theoretically and through simulations. In particular, an asymptotic expression of the mean integrated squared error is derived, leading to a data-driven bandwidth for the estimators. The relevance of the semiparametric approach is emphasized, in that it is generally more accurate and, importantly, it avoids the potential issues of nonexistence or nonuniqueness of the fully nonparametric estimator. Applications to the age of diagnosis of Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) and AIDS incubation times are included.
Odd O. Aalen, Mats J. Stensrud, Vanessa Didelez
et al.
We discuss causal mediation analyses for survival data and propose a new approach based on the additive hazards model. The emphasis is on a dynamic point of view, that is, understanding how the direct and indirect effects develop over time. Hence, importantly, we allow for a time varying mediator. To define direct and indirect effects in such a longitudinal survival setting we take an interventional approach (Didelez (2018)) where treatment is separated into one aspect affecting the mediator and a different aspect affecting survival. In general, this leads to a version of the non-parametric g-formula (Robins (1986)). In the present paper, we demonstrate that combining the g-formula with the additive hazards model and a sequential linear model for the mediator process results in simple and interpretable expressions for direct and indirect effects in terms of relative survival as well as cumulative hazards. Our results generalise and formalise the method of dynamic path analysis (Fosen et al. (2006), Strohmaier et al. (2015)). An application to data from a clinical trial on blood pressure medication is given.
Francisco J. Rubio, Bernard Rachet, Roch Giorgi
et al.
In cancer epidemiology using population-based data, regression models for the excess mortality hazard is a useful method to estimate cancer survival and to describe the association between prognosis factors and excess mortality. This method requires expected mortality rates from general population life tables: each cancer patient is assigned an expected (background) mortality rate obtained from the life tables, typically at least according to their age and sex, from the population they belong to. However, those life tables may be insufficiently stratified, as some characteristics such as deprivation, ethnicity, and comorbidities, are not available in the life tables for a number of countries. This may affect the background mortality rate allocated to each patient, and it has been shown that not including relevant information for assigning an expected mortality rate to each patient induces a bias in the estimation of the regression parameters of the excess hazard model. We propose two parametric corrections in excess hazard regression models, including a single-parameter or a random effect (frailty), to account for possible mismatches in the life table and thus misspecification of the background mortality rate. In an extensive simulation study, the good statistical performance of the proposed approach is demonstrated, and we illustrate their use on real population-based data of lung cancer patients. We present conditions and limitations of these methods, and provide some recommendations for their use in practice.
This paper studies optimal Public Private Partnerships contract between a public entity and a consortium, in continuous-time and with a continuous payment, with the possibility for the public to stop the contract. The public ("she") pays a continuous rent to the consortium ("he"), while the latter gives a best response characterized by his effort. This effect impacts the drift of the social welfare, until a terminal date decided by the public when she stops the contract and gives compensation to the consortium. Usually, the public can not observe the effort done by the consortium, leading to a principal agent's problem with moral hazard. We solve this optimal stochastic control with optimal stopping problem in this context of moral hazard. The public value function is characterized by the solution of an associated Hamilton Jacobi Bellman Variational Inequality. The public value function and the optimal effort and rent processes are computed numerically by using the Howard algorithm. In particular, the impact of the social welfare's volatility on the optimal contract is studied.
Complex, interdependent systems are necessary to the delivery of goods and services critical to societal function. Here we demonstrate how interdependent systems respond to disruptions. Specifically, we change the spatial arrangement of a disruption in infrastructure and show that -- while controlling for the size -- changes in the spatial pattern of a disruption induce significant changes in the way interdependent systems fail and recover. This work demonstrates the potential to improve characterizations of hazard disruption to infrastructure by incorporating additional information about the impact of disruptions on interdependent systems.
Maria Luz Gamiz, Maria Dolores Martinez-Miranda, Jens Perch Nielsen
This paper develops detailed mathematical statistical theory of a new class of cross-validation techniques of local linear kernel hazards and their multiplicative bias corrections. The new class of cross-validation combines principles of local information and recent advances in indirect cross-validation. A few applications of cross-validating multiplicative kernel hazard estimation do exist in the literature. However, detailed mathematical statistical theory and small sample performance are introduced via this paper and further upgraded to our new class of best one-sided cross-validation. Best one-sided cross-validation turns out to have excellent performance in its practical illustrations, in its small sample performance and in its mathematical statistical theoretical performance.
Cox proportional hazards model with measurement error is investigated. In Kukush et al. (2011) [Journal of Statistical Research 45, 77-94] and Chimisov and Kukush (2014) [Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications 1, 13-32] asymptotic properties of simultaneous estimator $λ_n(\cdot)$, $β_n$ were studied for baseline hazard rate $λ(\cdot)$ and regression parameter $β$, at that the parameter set $Θ=Θ_λ\times Θ_β$ was assumed bounded. In the present paper, the set $Θ_λ$ is unbounded from above and not separated away from $0$. We construct the estimator in two steps: first we derive a strongly consistent estimator and then modify it to provide its asymptotic normality.