Towards environmental Sustainability: Devolving the influence of carbon dioxide emission to population growth, climate change, Forestry, livestock and crops production in Pakistan

Abstract Global warming is an important issue from the last few decades and causing climate change due to carbon dioxide emission and greenhouse gases emission. The present study's key aim is to decouple the carbon dioxide emission influence on forestry production, crops production, livestock production, energy usage, population growth, temperature and rainfall in Pakistan. Time series data was utilized ranging from 1970 to 2017, and stationarity of the data was verified by using the unit root tests, while vector autoregressive model was applied to demonstrate the dynamic interaction amid study variables. Furthermore, the Granger causality test was applied to check the causal relation amid variables. The long-run dynamics results through the vector autoregressive model show that forestry production, rainfall, and temperature have a constructive effect on carbon dioxide emission, while crops production, livestock production, energy use, and population growth have a negative effect on carbon dioxide emission. Short-run analysis outcomes also demonstrate that forestry production, crops production, livestock production, population growth, rainfall, and the temperature have a positive effect on carbon dioxide emission, while energy usage has an adverse impact on carbon dioxide emission in Pakistan. Similarly, Granger causality test results also exposed that all variables have a unidirectional association. The Pakistani government needs to take the requisite measures to curb carbon dioxide emission in order to improve agricultural production.