Semantic Scholar Open Access 1993 9189 sitasi

On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks

L. Glosten R. Jagannathan D. Runkle

Abstrak

The authors find support for a negative relation between conditional expected monthly return and conditional variance of monthly return using a GARCH-M model modified by allowing (1) seasonal patterns in volatility, (2) positive and negative innovations to returns having different impacts on conditional volatility, and (3) nominal interest rates to predict conditional variance. Using the modified GARCH-M model, they also show that monthly conditional volatility may not be as persistent as was thought. Positive unanticipated returns appear to result in a downward revision of the conditional volatility, whereas negative unanticipated returns result in an upward revision of conditional volatility. Copyright 1993 by American Finance Association.

Topik & Kata Kunci

Penulis (3)

L

L. Glosten

R

R. Jagannathan

D

D. Runkle

Format Sitasi

Glosten, L., Jagannathan, R., Runkle, D. (1993). On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1540-6261.1993.TB05128.X

Akses Cepat

Informasi Jurnal
Tahun Terbit
1993
Bahasa
en
Total Sitasi
9189×
Sumber Database
Semantic Scholar
DOI
10.1111/J.1540-6261.1993.TB05128.X
Akses
Open Access ✓