Semantic Scholar Open Access 2017 182 sitasi

Extreme cyclone events in the Arctic: Wintertime variability and trends

A. Rinke M. Maturilli Robert M. Graham H. Matthes D. Handorf +3 lainnya

Abstrak

Typically 20–40 extreme cyclone events (sometimes called ‘weather bombs’) occur in the Arctic North Atlantic per winter season, with an increasing trend of 6 events/decade over 1979–2015, according to 6 hourly station data from Ny-Ålesund. This increased frequency of extreme cyclones is consistent with observed significant winter warming, indicating that the meridional heat and moisture transport they bring is a factor in rising temperatures in the region. The winter trend in extreme cyclones is dominated by a positive monthly trend of about 3–4 events/decade in November–December, due mainly to an increasing persistence of extreme cyclone events. A negative trend in January opposes this, while there is no significant trend in February. We relate the regional patterns of the trend in extreme cyclones to anomalously low sea-ice conditions in recent years, together with associated large-scale atmospheric circulation changes such as ‘blockinglike’ circulation patterns (e.g. Scandinavian blocking in December and Ural blocking during January–February).

Penulis (8)

A

A. Rinke

M

M. Maturilli

R

Robert M. Graham

H

H. Matthes

D

D. Handorf

L

L. Cohen

S

S. Hudson

J

J. Moore

Format Sitasi

Rinke, A., Maturilli, M., Graham, R.M., Matthes, H., Handorf, D., Cohen, L. et al. (2017). Extreme cyclone events in the Arctic: Wintertime variability and trends. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7def

Akses Cepat

Lihat di Sumber doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7def
Informasi Jurnal
Tahun Terbit
2017
Bahasa
en
Total Sitasi
182×
Sumber Database
Semantic Scholar
DOI
10.1088/1748-9326/aa7def
Akses
Open Access ✓