Possible Mechanisms Contributing to the Occurrence of a Waterspout in Victoria Harbour, Hong Kong, on 28 September 2024: Observational and Numerical Studies

A numerical simulation experiment is conducted to study the first-ever waterspout observed in Victoria Harbour, Hong Kong, in 2024, namely, a mesoscale meteorological model with a spatial resolution of 200 m coupled with a computational fluid dynamics model with a spatial resolution of 4 m. It is found that the simulation could reproduce the observed wind field near the surface reasonably well, as well as the location of the waterspout and showers, as shown in the weather image. By conducting simulations with and without buildings, it is found that the inclusion of buildings is essential for the successful reproduction of the flow fields near the surface and up to several hundred metres high. This may suggest that urbanization plays a role in the occurrence of this waterspout. The resultant horizontal vorticity is then stretched by strong vertical motion at around 850 hPa, resulting in the waterspout, though no closed circulation could be simulated at the location of the waterspout. Moreover, the cyclonic feature for the flow field near the surface has a time lag of about 30 min compared with the actual waterspout occurrence. Nonetheless, the simulation is considered to be generally satisfactory and provides useful insight into the occurrence of the waterspout.