Flight Passenger Load Factors Prediction Based on RNN Using Multi-Granularity Time Attention
Abstrak
Accurate prediction of Flight Passenger Load Factors(FPLFs) helps in addressing overbooking and overserving of the flight seats.However,traditional time series-based prediction methods only focus on variation feature of recent daily FPLFs and ignore impacts of other factors,leading to limited prediction performance.To address the problem,this paper proposes a recurrent neural network model using multi-granularity temporal attention mechanism named MTA-RNN.The model constructs a hierarchical attention mechanism to acquire the temporal correlation of FPLFs under different temporal granularities.Also,other factors including the properties of a flight,festivals and holidays are introduced into the model to compute the target FPLFs over a certain period in the future.Experimental results on datasets of real historical FPLFs show that the MTA-RNN model has a higher prediction accuracy than ARIMA,LSTM and Seq2seq models.
Topik & Kata Kunci
Penulis (1)
DENG Yujing, WU Zhihao, LIN Youfang
Akses Cepat
- Tahun Terbit
- 2020
- Sumber Database
- DOAJ
- DOI
- 10.19678/j.issn.1000-3428.0053569
- Akses
- Open Access ✓