Gender discrepancy in the predictive effect of aortic root diameter on incidence of cardiovascular events among rural Northeast Chinese

Objectives The possible predictive effect of echocardiographic aortic root diameter (ARD) on the incidence of cardiovascular events (CVEs) in a large, general population is limited. In addition, there is a lack of data about rural participants. We intend to figure out the possible relationship between ARD and the incidence of CVEs among the general population from rural China.Design Population-based cohort study.Setting Rural areas in Liaoning Province, Northeast China.Participants At baseline, 9810 participants (mean age 53±10, 49.1% male) were enrolled in the Northeast China Rural Cardiovascular Health Study between 2012 and 2017.Main outcome measures Cardiac ultrasonography, lifestyle, medical history, laboratory testing, blood pressure, weight and height. ARD measurement was conducted at the level of the sinuses of Valsalva. Furthermore, the ARD was indexed to height or body surface area.Results During a median follow-up of 4.66 years, 550 non-fatal or fatal CVEs were recorded. Adjusting for blood pressure, age, total cholesterol, fasting blood glucose, estimated glomerular filtration rate, current smoking and drinking, previous cardiovascular diseases and antihypertensive treatment; ARD/height (HR per 1-unit increase=1.781, 95% CI: 1.160 to 2.736, p=0.008) was associated with an increased risk of CVEs in men only. The combination of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) and aortic dilation was an independent and powerful predictor for cardiovascular prognosis compared with aortic dilation alone in men but not in women.Conclusions Our study enrols a large sample of rural Chinese residents, and first confirms that ARD/height has a predictive effect on the incidence of CVEs among rural Chinese residents. The combination of LVH and aortic dilation is synergistic, which increases its predictive effect on CVEs in men only, suggesting that aortic dilatation predicts cardiovascular prognosis better than LVH does in men but not in women.