DOAJ Open Access 2025

Machine learning based disruption prediction using long short-term memory in KSTAR

Jeongwon Lee Jayhyun Kim Jinsu Kim Sang-hee Hahn Hyunsun Han +3 lainnya

Abstrak

This study presents a machine learning model for predicting plasma disruptions using the KSTAR database. The model employs a long short-term memory (LSTM) network to capture temporal patterns in zero-dimensional plasma signals. A total of 668 disruption shots and 113 non-disruption shots from the 2019 to 2022 carbon divertor campaigns were used, divided into training, validation, and test sets. The architecture combines a multi-input LSTM and a fully connected neural network, using 30 features sampled over a 1 s window. The model achieved an AUC of 0.88 for individual samples and an F1 score of 0.91 in shot-by-shot evaluation, with over 90% accuracy for both disruption and non-disruption shots. Additional analysis using permutation importance and t-SNE visualization identified key features and confirmed the model’s interpretability. With an inference time of ∼3.1 ms per sample, the model shows strong potential for real-time application in plasma control systems.

Penulis (8)

J

Jeongwon Lee

J

Jayhyun Kim

J

Jinsu Kim

S

Sang-hee Hahn

H

Hyunsun Han

G

Giwook Shin

Y

Yong-Su Na

Y

Yong Un Nam

Format Sitasi

Lee, J., Kim, J., Kim, J., Hahn, S., Han, H., Shin, G. et al. (2025). Machine learning based disruption prediction using long short-term memory in KSTAR. https://doi.org/10.1088/1741-4326/adeb9b

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Informasi Jurnal
Tahun Terbit
2025
Sumber Database
DOAJ
DOI
10.1088/1741-4326/adeb9b
Akses
Open Access ✓