Spatio-temporal evolution of land subsidence and susceptibility zonation of associated ground fissures in the urban area of loess plateau: a case in Xianyang city, China

For over 50 years, the Xianyang city on the Chinese loess plateau, has been deeply affected by land subsidence and its associated ground fissures. In this study, 67 Sentinel-1A images from 2015 to 2022 were analysed to obtain the spatio-temporal evolution of land subsidence. Subsidence centers identified in Yunyang town and Luqiao town exhibit annual subsidence rates of −31 mm/a and −26.7 mm/a, respectively, culminating in total subsidence of −258 mm in Yunyang town and −139 mm in Luqiao town. Moreover, time series analysis revealed that both towns exhibit pronounced seasonal subsidence patterns. It is believed that human cultivation and groundwater overuse, combined with the effects of active faults, have led to uneven land subsidence. Then, the gradient of land subsidence and its potential relation to ground fissure hazards were evaluated. The results highlight a strong spatial correlation between high subsidence gradient areas and dense ground fissure distribution. Therefore, we proposed for the first time to introduce the land subsidence gradient factors for the susceptibility mapping of ground fissures using the artificial neural network algorithm. The susceptibility zonation results show that integrating the gradient factor can improve the rationality of the susceptibility evaluation. The above understanding provides valuable support for disaster prevention and mitigation in urban areas affected by land subsidence and ground fissures in loess regions.