Low-carbon urban transportation: Optimizing mechanical systems for sustainable electric bus and BRT deployment in Kampala

Kampala faces increasing congestion, air pollution, and dependence on fossil fuels, driven by widespread reliance on diesel minibuses and motorcycle taxis. Existing models—KAMPALA-TIMES, KLAP-TIMES, and GKMA-TIMES–CGE—show strong potential for electrified mass transit to reduce emissions, change commuter behavior, and boost macroeconomic welfare. However, these studies assume electric-bus reliability without examining the mechanical conditions needed to achieve their projected outcomes. This study combines system-level modeling insights with vehicle-level engineering analysis to identify key mechanical factors necessary for the successful deployment of electric Bus Rapid Transit (e-BRT) in Kampala. It considers drivetrain torque for steep gradients, battery thermal management in hot equatorial climates, and regenerative braking efficiency in traffic congestion, alongside policy, infrastructure, and grid readiness. Mechanical performance links modeling to implementation—adequate torque, thermal stability, and regenerative braking efficiency directly affect service reliability, headway adherence, fleet uptime, and lifecycle costs. These operational factors influence commuter mode choices, the realism of bottom-up pathways, and the broader economic benefits predicted in top-down scenarios. Engineering reliability must be a core policy consideration, guiding procurement standards, charging infrastructure design, and multisector coordination among KCCA, MoWT, MEMD, and Uganda’s power utilities. Incorporating mechanical parameters into future bottom-up or hybrid models, combined with digital-twin testing and degradation-aware analytics, will enable Kampala to serve as a living laboratory for low-carbon mobility transitions across Sub-Saharan Africa.