Cohort study investigating the natural history and management of sore throat and tonsillitis among adults in UK general practice

Abstract Background Recurrent sore throat affects a small minority of adults but can cause substantial morbidity. Evidence to guide tonsillectomy eligibility in adults is limited, and current criteria are extrapolated from paediatric populations. We aimed to describe the epidemiology, management, and prognosis of adult sore throat in UK primary care. Methods Using CPRD Aurum (2010–2020 adults with a first coded episode of sore throat or tonsillitis were identified and matched to controls. Episode frequency, antibiotic use, ENT referral, and tonsillectomy were analysed. Predictors of recurrent episodes (≥3 in 365 days), referral, and tonsillectomy were assessed using time-to-event, multinomial logistic, and multilevel mixed-effects regression models. Findings Of 4.45 million adults, 1.70 million (38.3%) had ≥1 episode; most (61.5%) had only one, but 4.1% experienced ≥3 within 1 year. Recurrent episodes were more common in younger females and those from more deprived areas. Only 21,869 patients (0.5% of the exposed cohort) underwent tonsillectomy, and just 25.7% of these met Paradise criteria at any time; conversely, only 13.9% of those meeting criteria underwent surgery. Patients who had a tonsillectomy tended to be younger, female, and from less deprived areas. Pre-tonsillectomy episode rates were unexpectedly low, but the data indicated that individuals with high baseline burden continue to experience elevated episode rates over several years. Conclusions Recurrent sore throat is uncommon, but those affected face substantial disease burden. Current tonsillectomy patterns are poorly aligned with disease burden and show inequities by deprivation. Earlier identification of adults likely to develop recurrent episodes, and more timely surgical intervention, may improve patient outcomes and the cost-effectiveness of tonsillectomy.