Influence of Green Credit Policy on Corporate Risk-Taking: The Mediating Effect of Debt Maturity Mismatch and the Moderating Effect of Executive Compensation

Risk-taking is a critical driver of sustainable development and financial performance for firms, especially under environmental degradation constraints. Despite the increasing implementation of green credit policies, their impact on corporate risk-taking remains underexplored in the existing literature. This study investigates the effects and underlying mechanisms of green credit policies on risk-taking behaviors among Chinese listed companies from 2009 to 2019. Utilizing econometric methodologies, including Difference-in-Differences, mediation analysis, and moderation analysis, the findings reveal that green credit policies significantly enhance the risk-taking activities of polluting enterprises. These results are robust across various sensitivity tests. Additionally, the relationship between green credit policies and corporate risk-taking is mediated by debt maturity mismatch and moderated by ESG and executive compensation. Subgroup analyses indicate that large and state-owned polluting enterprises experience greater increases in risk-taking compared to their small, medium-sized, and private counterparts. Furthermore, executive remuneration notably amplifies risk-taking in private firms. This research provides essential micro-level insights to optimize the effectiveness of green credit policies in promoting corporate risk-taking and advancing sustainable development.