arXiv Open Access 2026

Validating Political Position Predictions of Arguments

Jordan Robinson Angus R. Williams Katie Atkinson Anthony G. Cohn
Lihat Sumber

Abstrak

Real-world knowledge representation often requires capturing subjective, continuous attributes -- such as political positions -- that conflict with pairwise validation, the widely accepted gold standard for human evaluation. We address this challenge through a dual-scale validation framework applied to political stance prediction in argumentative discourse, combining pointwise and pairwise human annotation. Using 22 language models, we construct a large-scale knowledge base of political position predictions for 23,228 arguments drawn from 30 debates that appeared on the UK politicial television programme \textit{Question Time}. Pointwise evaluation shows moderate human-model agreement (Krippendorff's $α=0.578$), reflecting intrinsic subjectivity, while pairwise validation reveals substantially stronger alignment between human- and model-derived rankings ($α=0.86$ for the best model). This work contributes: (i) a practical validation methodology for subjective continuous knowledge that balances scalability with reliability; (ii) a validated structured argumentation knowledge base enabling graph-based reasoning and retrieval-augmented generation in political domains; and (iii) evidence that ordinal structure can be extracted from pointwise language models predictions from inherently subjective real-world discourse, advancing knowledge representation capabilities for domains where traditional symbolic or categorical approaches are insufficient.

Topik & Kata Kunci

Penulis (4)

J

Jordan Robinson

A

Angus R. Williams

K

Katie Atkinson

A

Anthony G. Cohn

Format Sitasi

Robinson, J., Williams, A.R., Atkinson, K., Cohn, A.G. (2026). Validating Political Position Predictions of Arguments. https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.18351

Akses Cepat

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Informasi Jurnal
Tahun Terbit
2026
Bahasa
en
Sumber Database
arXiv
Akses
Open Access ✓