arXiv Open Access 2025

Nondistortionary belief elicitation

Marcin Pęski Colin Stewart
Lihat Sumber

Abstrak

A researcher wants to ask a decision-maker about a belief related to a choice the decision-maker made; examples include eliciting confidence or cognitive uncertainty. When can the researcher provide incentives for the decision-maker to report her belief truthfully without distorting her choice? We identify necessary and sufficient conditions for nondistortionary elicitation and fully characterize all incentivizable questions in three canonical classes of problems. For these problems, we show how to elicit beliefs using variants of the Becker-DeGroot-Marschak mechanism.

Topik & Kata Kunci

Penulis (2)

M

Marcin Pęski

C

Colin Stewart

Format Sitasi

Pęski, M., Stewart, C. (2025). Nondistortionary belief elicitation. https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.12167

Akses Cepat

Lihat di Sumber
Informasi Jurnal
Tahun Terbit
2025
Bahasa
en
Sumber Database
arXiv
Akses
Open Access ✓