arXiv Open Access 2025

Multi-type $Ξ$-coalescents from structured population models with bottlenecks

Marta Dai Pra Alison Etheridge Jere Koskela Maite Wilke-Berenguer
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Abstrak

We introduce an individual-based model for structured populations undergoing demographic bottlenecks, i.e. drastic reductions in population size that last many generations and can have arbitrary shapes. We first show that the (non-Markovian) allele-frequency process converges to a Markovian diffusion process with jumps in a suitable relaxation of the Skorokhod J1 topology. Backward in time we find that genealogies of samples of individuals are described by multi-type $Ξ$-coalescents presenting multiple simultaneous mergers with simultaneous migrations. These coalescents are also moment-duals of the limiting jump diffusions. We then show through a numerical study that our model is flexible and can predict various shapes for the site frequency spectrum, consistent with real data, using a small number of interpretable parameters.

Topik & Kata Kunci

Penulis (4)

M

Marta Dai Pra

A

Alison Etheridge

J

Jere Koskela

M

Maite Wilke-Berenguer

Format Sitasi

Pra, M.D., Etheridge, A., Koskela, J., Wilke-Berenguer, M. (2025). Multi-type $Ξ$-coalescents from structured population models with bottlenecks. https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.11875

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Tahun Terbit
2025
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en
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arXiv
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