arXiv
Open Access
2007
Modeling and Controlling Interstate Conflict
Tshilidzi Marwala
Monica Lagazio
Abstrak
Bayesian neural networks were used to model the relationship between input parameters, Democracy, Allies, Contingency, Distance, Capability, Dependency and Major Power, and the output parameter which is either peace or conflict. The automatic relevance determination was used to rank the importance of input variables. Control theory approach was used to identify input variables that would give a peaceful outcome. It was found that using all four controllable variables Democracy, Allies, Capability and Dependency; or using only Dependency or only Capabilities avoids all the predicted conflicts.
Topik & Kata Kunci
Penulis (2)
T
Tshilidzi Marwala
M
Monica Lagazio
Akses Cepat
Informasi Jurnal
- Tahun Terbit
- 2007
- Bahasa
- en
- Sumber Database
- arXiv
- Akses
- Open Access ✓